US lotteries
Mega Millions statistics: rules, odds and analysis tools
Mega Millions, the US multi-state lottery, unrelated to FDJ: five numbers and one Mega Ball, two draws a week.
Latest draw
Mega Millions results can be checked on the operator’s official publication (texaslottery.com).
Mega Millions: rules and figures
- Draw rule
- 5/70 + 1/24
- Special number
- Mega Ball
- Possible combinations
- 290,472,336
- Top prize tier
- 1 in 290,472,336, for each grid
- Draw schedule
- Tuesdays and Fridays at 23:00 (US Eastern Time), which is the following morning in France
- Organiser
- Multi-state lottery (United States)
- Results analysed
- Results history published by the Texas Lottery Commission, a participating lottery (texaslottery.com), since April 8, 2025
Exact Mega Millions odds, tier by tier
Computed from the game’s official rules, for one grid played: the probability of each combination of correct numbers. They do not depend on any draw history.
| Correct numbers | Odds |
|---|---|
| 5 numbers + the Mega Ball | 1 in 290,472,336 |
| 5 numbers + without the Mega Ball | 1 in 12,629,232 |
| 4 numbers + the Mega Ball | ≈ 1 in 893,761 |
| 4 numbers + without the Mega Ball | ≈ 1 in 38,859 |
| 3 numbers + the Mega Ball | ≈ 1 in 13,965 |
| 3 numbers + without the Mega Ball | ≈ 1 in 607.17 |
| 2 numbers + the Mega Ball | ≈ 1 in 665.00 |
| 1 number + the Mega Ball | ≈ 1 in 85.81 |
| no numbers + the Mega Ball | ≈ 1 in 35.17 |
| Any prize tier | ≈ 1 in 23.07 |
Mega Millions statistics in Visionary Stats Pro
- Draw history — the official published results, draw by draw, with their freshness shown. (All plans)
- Frequencies and gaps — the most drawn numbers, current and longest gaps, trends, over a stated period. (All plans)
- Inspector — a number’s profile in one click: hits against expectation, timeline, structure. (All plans)
- Line generator — lines produced from your explicit rules, counted exactly before anything is produced — not a random pick. (All plans)
- Lottery wheeling — the Reducer shrinks a pool of numbers to a short set that holds a conditional guarantee, checked on the delivered lines. (All plans)
- Analyzer — the report on a line you already play, and suggestions to improve it. (All plans)
- Verifier — a line-by-line review of a set against its rules. (Pro · Expert)
- Backtesting — replaying your lines and sets on past draws, with the number of draws replayed. (Expert)
Prize replay for this game: no prize replay: statistics only.
What you should know about this game
Only the current game matrix is analysed: draws from earlier matrices are never mixed with the new ones.
The multiplier is drawn for each play at the time of purchase, and per-tier payouts are not published in the data used: no financial replay, statistics only.
No statistic predicts the next draw or increases the chances of winning: every draw is independent of the previous ones (statistics and chance). Visionary Stats Pro is independent software, with no affiliation with the US lotteries, and sells no tickets: your grids are played with the official operator.
The other games
Responsible gaming
Gambling can lead to financial losses, family conflict, addiction or loss of control.
Visionary Stats Pro encourages a set budget, self-imposed limits and careful, informed and responsible play.
Draws remain random: no guaranteed prediction, no promise of winnings.
Help and information: in the United States, 1-800-MY-RESET (National Council on Problem Gambling, 24/7); in the United Kingdom, GamCare 0808 8020 133 (free, 24/7); in France, Joueurs Info Service 09 74 75 13 13. More on the responsible gaming page.
Independence
Visionary Stats Pro is independent of all lottery and gaming operators.
Game and operator names are used only to identify the games concerned.